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Financial modelling and scenario analysis for a data centre investor

June 2025

Amberside Advisors supported a global top tier institutional investor, by preparing a forecasting financial model for their portfolio of three data centres, with a new 32MW+ site in western Europe currently under construction.

Project details

Client:

Confidential

Sector:

Digital

Subsector:

Data Centre

Service:

Performance Monitoring, Financial Modelling, Scenario Analysis

Amberside Advisors played a central role in equipping the client with the tools needed to understand and evaluate their new and complex data centre asset portfolio. Our support included:


  • Operational Financial Model: Amberside Advisors developed a long-term financial      model covering the next few decades of operations. The model featured monthly granularity for the first ten years and quarterly thereafter, allowing the Client to monitor financial performance in detail, particularly during the early construction stages of the asset’s life.

  • Project Funding Modelling: Amberside Advisors helped the investor and operator team pull apart the financing package, which differed to what was initially transacted on. We provided transparent and straightforward coding that made it easy to pinpoint what was happening and when.

  • Scenario Analysis: We delivered a highly flexible scenario manager, enabling the Client to test a broad range of variables. This included multiple funding structures, cost and revenue inputs, and highly detailed sensitivities, such as modelling the impact of changes to individual salary costs.

  • Stakeholder Engagement and Advisory: Amberside Advisors worked closely with both the      investor and the data centre operator’s teams, acting as a bridge between the two, and helping align stakeholder expectations by proposing the most effective solutions.


Value Delivered to the Client


Amberside Advisors provided significant strategic and technical value through this engagement:


  • Improved Decision-Making: The scenario manager enabled the Client to analyse      outcomes under a wide range of assumptions, supporting robust internal      review and long-term planning and so enabling better decision making.

  • Funding: thanks to the model structure, the client was able to identify funding shortfalls      quicker and easier, and put in place additional funding if required.

  • Clarity: the model gave clarity to their portfolio structure that included three assets and three separate holding companies.


Project Outcome


The engagement concluded successfully, with the investor and operator team being happy with the operational financial model and scenario tools delivered. The experience has reinforced Amberside Advisors' ability to support complex infrastructure investments and expanded our capability to serve clients exploring or expanding within the digital infrastructure sector. Amberside Advisors is now actively applying these learnings to support similar projects and help clients unlock value in data centre investments.

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